Monday, May 8, 2023
Are THC Potency Caps Really Necessary?
Thursday, May 4, 2023
The Law of Eristic Escalation Revisited
Or, "Politics In One Lesson"
There is an eternal law of nature that at once explains just about everything, and even makes politics possible to finally understand. It is called The Law of Eristic Escalation:
Imposition of Order = Escalation of Chaos
By that, it pertains to any arbitrary or coercive imposition of order, which at least in the long run, actually causes disorder (chaos) to escalate. Fenderson's Amendment further adds that "the tighter the order in question is maintained, the longer the consequent chaos takes to escalate, BUT the more it does when it does." Finally, the Thudthwacker Addendum still further adds that this relationship is nonlinear, thus rendering the resulting escalation of chaos completely unpredictable in terms of the original imposition of order.
We see the real world consequences of this in everything from Prohibition to the War on (people who use a few particular) Drugs to zero tolerance policies to Covid lockdowns to sexual repression and so much more. And, of course, especially in the ageist abomination that is the 21 drinking age. Any short-term benefits that these arbitrary and coercive impositions of order may provide is entirely outweighed when they inevitably backfire in the long run. Miron and Tetelbaum (2009), Asch and Levy (1987 and 1990), and Males (1986) illustrate this very nicely in the case of the 21 drinking age.
Perhaps that is why most bans on various things have historically had a track record that is quite lackluster at best. Ironically, bans tend to give more power to the very things that they seek to ban.
And now, ladies and gentlemen, you finally understand politics.
Saturday, April 29, 2023
The Trouble With Mandatory Age Verification Online
(See our previous articles about this topic.)
A new bipartisan (aka the very worst kind of tyranny) bill in Congress seeks to 1) ban anyone under 13 from social media platforms entirely, 2) require parental consent for anyone over 13 but under 18 to join such platforms, 3) require mandatory age verification (and verification of parental status) to enforce the above. This is very similar to Utah's new law, which is the strictest one passed to date.
(Arkansas recently passed a similar law as well, but theirs exempts so many social media platforms as to render it largely toothless in practice. I'm sure the fact that the same state that recently relaxed child labor laws for youth under 16 also conveniently exempted LinkedIn is entirely a coincidence, right?)
The bill as currently written would apply the age verification requirement to all new accounts opened after enactment, and would have a two year grace period (why not simply exempt entirely, like in Josh Hawley's bill?) for existing accounts after which unverified accounts would be suspended. Fortunately, unlike Hawley's bill, it does not specifically require government-issued ID (yet).
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see the pitfalls of such a sledgehammer approach to a problem that really calls for a scalpel. Not only does it arguably infringe on the First Amendment rights of people under 18, but it also backfires on adults over 18 almost as badly as well. The Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF) wrote an excellent article as to the very real perils and pitfalls that come with mandatory age verification, not least of which include the undermining of what is left of any semblance of privacy and anonymity online for all ages. It is not much of a leap from that to further censorship and surveillance, digital ID, and ultimately social credit scoring to effectively lock "undesirable" people out of the public square for the purpose of power and control--a budding totalitarian's dream come true (and a nightmare for everyone else). As a best case scenario, it will sound the death knell for what's still left of the free and open internet as we knew it.
Kafka, meet trap. Pandora, meet box. Albatross, meet neck. Baby, meet bathwater. Camel's nose, meet tent. Horse, meet barn. Trojan, meet horse.
Make no mistake, this is a Trojan horse!
The ONE possibly good thing in this bill is that it prohibits the use of algorithmic recommendation systems for people under 18 (why not all ages?), but otherwise it throws out the proverbial baby with the bathwater, and likely does more harm than good. While it simultaneously lets Big Tech largely off the hook in terms of design safety. That makes the bill both over-inclusive and under-inclusive.
Thus, Twenty-One Debunked categorically opposes this bill or any other that contains mandatory age verification for social media and/or the internet in general. But in the event that mandatory age verification does become a foregone conclusion, we demand that the following safeguards be included:
- It must be as narrowly tailored as humanly possible. Think scalpel, not sledgehammer.
- The age limit should be no higher than 16 for social media or any other sites (except 18 for stuff like porn, gambling, and dating sites).
- All existing social media accounts (that were opened prior to the law's enactment date) must be "grandfathered" and thus fully exempt from mandatory age verification, period.
- A varied "menu" of options for age verification must be available for all. Government-issued ID should be only one of many options.
- All data collected for the purpose of age verification must be deleted immediately after verification, and not retained for any purpose whatsoever.
- Age verification must be "one and done" when opening a new account.
- At most, only people who look and/or claim to be under 25 should be subject to age verification, similar to how it is done for requiring ID for buying tobacco products offline at the store.
- And there must be full liability for any misuse or abuse of data collected for the purpose of age verification.
Sunday, April 23, 2023
The Trouble With "Competency Testing"
One idea often floated by some libertarians, paleoconservatives, and youth rights activists alike is the idea that most if not all age restrictions can and should be replaced with a competency test of some sort. Dr. Robert Epstein (not to be confused with that other Epstein!) famously advocates this in his book Teen 2.0. The arguments for this may seem appealing at first glance, but upon closer examination they largely fall apart as quixotic at best, and perhaps even worse than the current abominable status quo.
First of all, like most other glib and specious technocratic and ivory tower solutions in search of a problem (see Epstein's other idea from 2020 about instantly ending the Covid pandemic with mass testing of the entire population and isolating the positives, then ask Slovakia how well that idea worked out), it is unrealistic and impractical. For example, Epstein literally uses the DMV (!) of all things as a model, without seeing the irony of it all. Who exactly decides what the tests consist of, who administers and evaluates each one, and what adult rights, responsibilities, and privileges even need any tests or age restrictions at all? Who validates whether these new tests even have any predictive value at all, as opposed to merely being gatekeeping of privilege? And who watches the watchers? Epstein leaves the hopeful but bewildered readers with far more questions than answers. Strike one.
Secondly, there is the problem of scalability. Traditionally, any formal coming-of-age ritual "tests", to the extent that they even existed at all, were done at the local or tribal level, and administered by familiar elders, not by large faceless bureaucracies governing millions of people. Strike two.
Finally, and more importantly, all competency tests of any kind are, by their very definition and nature, inherently ableist. True, one can argue that Mother Nature is also ableist, but while that is technically true, that does NOT justify being any MORE ableist than Mother Nature already is, only that anti-ableism is unfortunately an imperfect duty rather than a perfect one. And ableism, just like ageism/adultism, is both bad enough on its own as well as a major "gateway" and "underpin" to the rest of the kyriarchy (patriarchy, sexism, racism, classism, heterosexism, and all the other intersectional -isms out there).
For example, can you imagine if everyone had to take a test to be allowed to vote regardless of age? There was a precedent for that in the Southern states prior to the civil rights movement, and it wasn't a good thing at all. Having a test only for people under 18 (or under 16) to vote could be defensible perhaps, but if applied to the entire population regardless of age it opens the door to not only ableism, but also racism, classism, elitism, and perhaps other -isms as well. It is far too easy to rig such tests, as history has shown.
Strike three, you're OUT!
Thus, after giving it much thought, Twenty-One Debunked keeps coming back to the same answer. And that answer is, competency tests have their place as an alternative to age limits for some but not all things, and regardless, there needs to be a default age of majority above which one is automatically given the benefit of the doubt and presumed to be an adult (unless an individual is formally declared incompetent by the state), and thus exempt from such tests for all general adult rights, responsibilities, and privileges. And after that, once you are an adult, you are an adult, period. That would take most of the ableism out of the equation, albeit with an unavoidable tradeoff between ableism and ageism/adultism for people below that age. And for that reason, some current age limits for specific things simply should be lowered or abolished rather than replaced with all-new competency testing.
And Twenty-One Debunked believes that default age should be no higher than 18. Before that age, there is plenty of room for nuance, of course. But NOT after.
(Mic drop)
Sunday, April 16, 2023
Looks Like The "Teen Vaping Epidemic" Was Just A Brief Fad All Along
Looks like the "teen vaping epidemic" of 2018-2019 was really just a brief fad all along. Since then, per the National Youth Tobacco survey, teen vaping has plummeted by 50%, returning to its 2015 baseline by 2021, and teen smoking continues its long-term decline. Two Tweets with infographics say it all:
And JUUL? The brand that notoriously drove the "epidemic"? That's not cool anymore either, apparently, as use of that particular brand was approaching nil by 2022. And the survey results pan out, as one can even see with their own eyes a marked reduction in vape pod litter (especially JUUL pods) on streets, sidewalks, and parking lots these days compared to 2018-2019 and early 2020.
And lest anyone spuriously credit the raising of the age limit to 21 with these positive trends, keep in mind that the "epidemic" self-evidently occurred just as much in states like California and New Jersey that raised their own tobacco and vaping age limits to 21 prior to 2018 than in those states who did so later or not at all, and it had already peaked nationwide before the federal age limit of 21 was enforced. And the secular decline in teen smoking began well before any state or major city raised their age limits to 21.
But don't expect the MSM to tell you that.
What Is The Proper Role Of Government In A Free Society?
One perennial question that every society has wrestled with is, "what is the proper role of government in a free society?". Libertarians (or rather, right-libertarians) argue that the proper role is as minimal as possible, and akin to a night-watchman, while statists argue that the proper role is as large and comprehensive as possible, and akin to that of a micromanaging nanny. The former protects individuals only from very narrowly-defined force or fraud, as well as foreign attack, while the latter pre-emptively protects individuals from all possible threats that exist or that one could imagine, including from themselves. The former believes only in negative liberty at the expense of positive liberty, while the latter believes (nearly) exclusively in positive liberty at the expense of negative liberty.
Twenty-One Debunked and the TSAP believe that both extremes are quite incorrect and often disingenuous, and that the proper role of government (at any level) is that of a macromanager. Negative and positive liberty ought to carry (roughly) equal weight. A welfare state, broadly defined, need not be abolished and need not be a controlling nanny state either. And protecting individuals from themselves against their will, at least as far as consenting adults are concerned, is a fundamental overreach of the proper role of government in a free society. And, of course, once you are an adult, you are an adult, period.
QED
Saturday, April 15, 2023
Naloxone Not Associated With Moral Hazard
Good news, a new study finds that expanding access to naloxone (Narcan), an antidote that reverses opioid overdoses and saves countless lives every day, was NOT associated with increased heroin or other intravenous drug use among adolescents. This echoes previous research that finds no such "moral hazard" occurring among adults either. Thus conclusively ends one of the most tired, jaded, cynical, and empathy-lacking arguments against harm reduction.
In other words, in this day and age, there is absolutely no rational reason to not make naloxone readily available, period. Ditto for things like fentanyl test kits as well. Those who oppose doing so are thus basing their self-righteous opposition on a selectively moralistic and ideological foundation, and certainly not a scientific or a humanitarian one.
The same goes for needle exchange programs as well, something even former NYC Mayor Mike Bloomberg openly came out in favor of during his time as mayor.
The flip side of "live and let live" need not be "live and let die". Harm reduction is NOT a zero-sum game, since dead people can't recover from addiction.
NOTE: Narcan nasal spray is now approved for over the counter (OTC) sale by the FDA. It should have always been, but better late than never. Beware that it only reverses opioid overdoses, not overdoses of other, non-opioid drugs such as alcohol, cocaine, crack, meth, Adderall, benzos, or xylazine ("tranq").
Thursday, April 13, 2023
Once You Are An Adult, You Are An Adult, Period
Twenty-One Debunked has long believed that, regardless of whatever the general age of majority is set at, once you are an adult, you are an adult, period. While there is of course plenty of room for nuance before reaching that age, any exceptions made after reaching that age absolutely must require truly extraordinary justification in any free society worthy of the name. The onus inherently falls on the state to justify any such exceptions. And for better for worse, in nearly all of the known world today, that age is set at 18. The Canadian province of Alberta is a good model to follow, for example.
While Twenty-One Debunked does not take any official position on anything regarding the transgender community in general, we unequivocally oppose the latest red-state Republican attempts that increasingly target young adults age 18-25. That's right, they are attempting to deny any sort of gender-affirming care to anyone under 21 or even 26 (!) in some states. While a decent case can be made that somewhat more gatekeeping may be be good for all ages regarding any treatments that are irreversible (surgery, obviously, but also cross-sex hormone therapy too), and perhaps even banning irreversible treatments (including puberty blockers) for youth under 18, banning gender-affirming care for young adults over 18 is a major overreach at best. And don't think they will stop there either. This is clearly NOT about "protecting children", as no sane person would honestly consider 18-25 year olds (who are well beyond puberty) to be literal children. No, this is the latest battle in the decades-long culture wars, by the increasingly unhinged and reactionary right wing in this unprecedentedly divided nation. And it is a battle that is increasingly bordering on cultural genocide.
And before anyone brings up detransitioners who end up regretting their transitions, one of the downsides of adulthood and the bodily autonomy that goes with it is, "you break it, you own it". It sounds harsh, but it's true. Adults make decisions they regret all the time, unfortunately. And we can empathize with them without revoking any civil rights or bodily autonomy from young adults. Trying to remove all possibility of regret from life is a fool's errand and a losing battle, and completely antithetical to liberty.
Once you are an adult, you are an adult, period. Any breach of that maxim is a major red flag.
Saturday, April 1, 2023
How To Make Tobacco Less Appealing And Addictive Without Banning It Or Reducing Nicotine Below Natural Levels
Here is a "Cliffs Notes" style list on how to make cigarettes and other smokeable tobacco products less addictive and appealing WITHOUT banning it outright, raising the age limit any higher than 18, or even reducing nicotine below natural levels:
- First and foremost, BAN ADDITIVES! No non-tobacco ingredients should be added, period.
- Adding extra nicotine deliberately should also be banned as well.
- Require the smoke pH to be 8 or higher to discourage deep inhalation of smoke, as it naturally was prior to the 20th century.
- Phase out the pH-lowering and environmentally unsustainable practice of flue-curing tobacco.
- Phase out cigarette "filters", which don't really filter, and merely provide a false sense of security to smokers, and inherently creates a major toxic waste littering problem to boot.
Friday, March 24, 2023
A Band-Aid Solution In Search Of A Problem (Part Deux)
We previously wrote an article about the recent wrongheaded push to ban young people under the age of 16 or 18 (depending on whose idea it is) from social media entirely, or at least heavily restrict it. Well, now the state of Utah has finally done it, and signed it into law today, effective one year from now on March 1, 2024. This new law does not completely ban people under 18 from social media, but in some ways it is worse than that. What it does is 1) prohibits any Utah resident under 18 from opening a social media account, or even maintaining an existing one after March 1, 2024 unless they can provide both proof of age verification as well as proof of parental consent, 2) prohibits anyone of any age from opening a social media account or even maintaining an existing one without proof of age verification, 3) requires social media companies to provide parents with a password or other means to gain full access to their teens' accounts, 4) prohibits anyone under 18 from accessing social media from 10:30 pm and 6:30 am, 5) prohibits social media companies from showing any ads to people under 18, or using any addictive features for people under 18.
If your jaw just dropped after reading all of that, you're not alone!
This is just plain wrong on so many levels. That the age limit is set so high is bad enough, as is the lack of privacy for people under 18, but that not nearly the worst of it. For starters, unlike Josh Hawley's federal bill, there is NO grandfather clause for existing accounts for anyone of any age, whether you are 18 or 80, only a mere one year delay before the law goes into effect. Worse still, the mandatory collection and storage of proof of ID (driver's license, birth certificate, passport, etc) required by this law for ALL ages comes with NO meaningful safeguards to keep such sensitive information from falling into the wrong hands. Fox, meet henhouse. Everyone's privacy is at risk now, more then ever before. Yet another example of adultism backfiring on adults. It is the ultimate Trojan horse from Big Brother.
And of course, the even greater loss of privacy specifically for teens should not be trivialized either, as that will put the most vulnerable young people in even greater danger still, not least from abusive and/or bigoted parents or guardians.
And the ban on addictive features, such as via those notorious algorithms, curiously only applies to people under 18 for some reason. And it would hold the social media companies liable for that and any damages that result. That, along with perhaps some other enhanced safety features, is probably the ONLY marginally good part of the new law, which of course they had to nerf it by age-gating it rather than simply applying it to all ages across the board.
(Why don't we simply make it illegal for any manufacturer, vendor, or company to deliberately engineer a product or service to be more addictive or habit-forming than it would otherwise be in the name of profit, for all ages, across the board, period? Big Tech, Big Tobacco, Big Pharma, Big Food, et al., I'm looking at YOU. That would not completely cure the problem of "limbic capitalism" in practice, of course, but it sure would greatly decrease the frequency and flagrancy of such machinations and manipulations.)
And what else does the law NOT do, but should do for all ages? No data privacy rules, no enhanced safety features, no common carrier rules, or anything like that. Nope, just more of the usual ageist bigotry and control under the guise of concern and protection.
If the new Utah law ever does become the national standard, then this is truly the end of an era, and the beginning of a new and even more dystopian one. And it would also mark at least the beginning of the end of the free and open internet as we knew it.
And by extension, one more cut in the long-running, subtle "death by a thousand cuts" of the First Amendment, and the rest of the Bill of Rights as well.
One thing is for sure. The Overton window has clearly shifted in a VERY questionable direction!
UPDATE: Looks like the 10:30 pm social media curfew would simply be set as the default feature, which parents would be able to adjust at will. (Thank God for small mercies, I guess.)
And there are ways of verifying age that don't compromise privacy or security, but somehow we doubt that those will be used. In any case, teens will always find a way to game the system and get around the restrictions regardless of the method.
But with the general anonymity of social media effectively a thing of the past for all ages, thanks to the new ID verification system, the chilling effect on free speech will remain unless this law gets struck down before it goes into effect. The clock is ticking.
UPDATE 2: Looks like the evidence on which this law is based is less than meets the eye. Far from a mountain of evidence, it is more like a molehill, and a shaky one at that. Not that Big Tech is completely benign (they are not) or doesn't have a dark side (they clearly do), but we need to deal with them proportionately, and not from a place of moral panic.
And look into the other potential causes of mental health declines in young people as well.
UPDATE 4: While research evidence is quite mixed at best, it is probably safe to conclude that, yes, Virginia, there really is a "there", there. But it still does NOT follow that bans or undue age discrimination are the solution, as this problem calls for a scalpel, not a sledgehammer. The Law of Unintended Consequences (aka Murphy's Law) is all too real.
Instead, things that require social media to be safer by design, like the California Kids' Code that goes into effect in 2024, would be a better idea. The next logical step after that would be the COPPA 2.0 bill. Ditto for many other ways to design it to be safer and less addictive as well, such as adding a bit more "friction". Think harm reduction, not prohibition.
See the youth-led advocacy movement Design It For Us, for more information in that regard.
Also note how The Netherlands appears to have dodged the supposedly global teen mental health crisis thus far. Could it be that is at least in part because they are the overall most "permissive" society in the world for children and young people IRL?
UPDATE 5: And don't forget to read Mike Males' famous rebuttals to Jon Haidt as well. To wit, the real mental health crisis is the massive epidemic of toxic, dysfunctional adults, whose toxicity/dysfunction then inevitably rubs off on the young people in their lives. Not to say that social media is not a potential causal factor in such toxicity overall, but clearly silencing the skeptics is another mistake to never make again.