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Tuesday, February 13, 2024

The Law Of Eristic Escalation Revisited (Re-post)

Or, "Politics In One Lesson"

There is an eternal law of nature that at once explains just about everything, and even makes politics possible to finally understand. It is called The Law of Eristic Escalation:

Imposition of Order = Escalation of Chaos

By that, it pertains to any arbitrary or coercive imposition of order, which at least in the long run, actually causes disorder (chaos) to escalate.  Fenderson's Amendment further adds that "the tighter the order in question is maintained, the longer the consequent chaos takes to escalate, BUT the more it does when it does."  Finally, the Thudthwacker Addendum still further adds that this relationship is nonlinear, thus rendering the resulting escalation of chaos completely unpredictable in terms of the original imposition of order.

We see the real world consequences of this in everything from Prohibition to the War on (people who use a few particular) Drugs to zero tolerance policies to Covid lockdowns to sexual repression and so much more.  And, of course, especially in the ageist abomination that is the 21 drinking age.  Any short-term benefits that these arbitrary and coercive impositions of order may provide is entirely outweighed when they inevitably backfire in the long run.  Miron and Tetelbaum (2009), Asch and Levy (1987 and 1990), and Males (1986) illustrate this very nicely in the case of the 21 drinking age.

Perhaps that is why most bans on various things have historically had a track record that is quite lackluster at best.  Ironically, bans tend to give more power to the very things that they seek to ban.

And now, ladies and gentlemen, you finally understand politics.

P.S.  The Dutch seem to understand this better.  They even have a proverb:  "when you permit, you control", which is the antithesis of the American proverb, "when you permit, you promote".  Carl Jung would also likely have a field day with that as well.

5 comments:

  1. This is a reason why the United States was formed as a constitutional republic. This is why there are 25 amendments to the United States Constitution. One of those amendments, the 9th amendment implies that government is there is to serve the people; not for government to rule people without restraint. The Law of Eristic Escalation is something that is real. Laws should be made from the standpoints of civil rights and civil liberties so as to avoid the consequences of the Law of Eristic Escalation. If laws are made from the standpoint of individual liberty and individual responisibility, then the problems are made less severe than laws which violate the viewpoint of freedom and responsibility.

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    1. There are actually 27 amendments to the U.S. Constitution.

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    2. I also once again support the legalization of Cannabis with a minimum age of 18.

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    3. However, penalties for driving under the influence of Cannabis should be misdeamenors which would result in jail time worth at least weeks, fines worth at least hundreds of dollars or both applied, the same should apply for drunk driving.

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